Typhoon Man-Yi heading for Okinawa

Typhoon Man-Yi Forecast Track (Joint Typhoon Warning Center)
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Environmental / Meteorological News

Dangerous Man-Yi Heads for Okinawa

Surfersvillage Global Surf News, 12 July, 2007 : - - As of early Thursday, EDT, Typhoon Man-Yi (04W) was centered near 22 north and 128.5 east. Winds were sustained at around 145 mph, and movement was to the north-northwest at 15 mph, putting it at a strength equivalent to that of a category-4 hurricane. The storm could strengthen to a super typhoon (winds above 150 mph) briefly Thursday afternoon, EDT, just before making landfall over Okinawa in the Ryukyu Islands by Thursday evening. Wave heights will be greater than 35 feet, while drenching rainfall and strong, dangerous winds batter the region. Interests in these areas should take precautions prior to the arrival of this dangerous storm, and it is recommended to follow any instructions and warnings set forth by local authorities.

Typhoon MAN-YI Forecast/Advisory(JTWC)
Typhoon MAN-YI Prognostic Reasoning(JTWC)
Typhoon MAN-YI JMV 3.0 Data(JTWC)

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Eastern Pacific: Tropical Depression 4-E Continues to Dissipate

Tropical Depression 4-E has dissipated into a weak, remnant, low pressure area. The remnants of 4-E will continue to drift westward away from Mexico into cooler ocean waters and will totally dissipate over the next 12 to 24 hours. Elsewhere across the eastern Pacific, there is one tropical wave along 95 west just north of 6 north. This wave is moving off to the west at 10 to 15 knots. Although there is some convection associated with this wave, nothing is organized well enough for any tropical development at this point. By AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Chuck Caracozza

Quiet in the Atlantic Basin

The tropical Atlantic remains fairly quiet. Satellite derived data shows a large area of drier-than-normal air embedded with African dust in place over much of the tropical Atlantic between Africa and the Lesser Antilles generally north of 10 north. This large area of dry air is creating more sinking than rising motion over the tropical Atlantic. This is just one of a few limiting factors that continue to prevent tropical waves from becoming better organized.

We are tracking tropical waves along 36 west, along 61 west, near 73 west and near 91 west. All waves are moving to the west at an average pace of 6 degrees longitude per day. The most notable wave is along 36 west with some cyclonic turning in the clouds. However, African dry air and dust flank the wave to the north and west, and this dry, dusty air will probably accompany this wave as it moves west. Thunderstorms over the central Caribbean are associated with the wave near 73 west. This wave has looked rather active at times but will move into the eastern Pacific within the next day or two. The Atlantic ridge in place over Florida will weaken during the next three days. However, computer models show the ridge building back westward across the Sunshine State during next week. So, the general flow across the Atlantic and Caribbean will not change much through the rest of this week and into the weekend.

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